Part – I (50 marks)

I. Descriptive Statistics

Definition, Importance and scope of Statistics, Descriptive and Inferential Statistics,

Presentation of the Data, Tables, Graphs and Charts: Stem-and leaf diagram, Box

and Whisker Plots. Measures of Central Tendency/location, Measures of

Dispersion/Variability: Measures of Skewness and Kurtosis.

II. Basic Probability

Basic Probability Concepts, Additive and Multiplicative laws of Probability, Joint and

Marginal Probabilities, Conditional Probability and Statistical Independence, Bayes’

rule. Concept of a Random Variable, Mathematical Expectations, Discrete and

Continuous Random Variables, Probability Distribution, Mean and Variance of a

Discrete Probability Distribution.

III. Probability Distributions

Discrete and continuous Probability Distributions. Properties, applications of

Binomial, Poisson, Hyper-geometric distribution, Normal Distribution and its

properties, Standard Normal Curve, Normal approximation to Binomial and Poisson

distribution.

IV. Regression Analysis & Correlation Analysis

Concepts of Regression and Correlation and their application, Simple and Multiple

Linear Regression (upto three variables), Estimation of the Parameters of simple

regression Model, Method of least square, Inference regarding regression

parameters.

Correlation, Correlation Coefficient, Properties of Correlation Coefficient, Inference

regarding correlation coefficient, Partial Correlation and Multiple Correlation

Coefficients (upto three variables).

V. Non-Parametric Methods

Parametric versus nonparametric tests, when to use non-parametric procedures,

One-sample tests: Sign test, Wilcoxan signed ranks tests, Kolmogrov-Smirnov test,

run test.

Tests for two related samples: sign test, run tests, chi-square test, Test for two

independent samples: Mann-Whitney test, Kolmogrov-Smirnov test.

Part – II (50 marks)

I. Sampling & Sampling Distributions

Population and Sample, Advantages of Sampling, Sampling Design, Probability &

Non-Probability Sampling techniques. Brief Concepts of Simple Random, Stratified,

Systematic, Cluster, Multiphase and Multistage Sampling. Non-probability sampling:

Purposive, Quota Sampling, Convenience & Accidental Sampling.

Sampling with and without replacement, Application of Central Limit Theorem in

Sampling, Sampling Distribution of Mean, difference between two Means,

Proportion, difference between two Proportion and Variance.

II. Statistical Inferences

Estimation: Point Estimation, Properties of a good Estimator. Interval Estimation.

Interval Estimation of Single Population means and Single proportion. Difference

between two means and Difference between two proportions.

Hypothesis Testing: Types of errors. Hypothesis Testing for Population Mean.

Inferences for difference between Two Population Means. Inferences for the

difference between Means of Two Normal Populations using Independent Samples

(variances are assumed Equal) for sample size. Inference for Two Populations Mean

using Paired Samples.Hypothesis testing for Single Population Proportion and

difference between two population proportions. Estimation of sample size

Analysis of categorized data. Goodness of fit tests. Contingency tables. Test of

independence in contingency tables.

III. Design of Experiments

One-way and Two-way Analysis of Variance, Design of Experiments, Concepts of

Treatment, Replication, Blocking, Experimental Units and Experimental Error, Basic

Principles of Design of Experiments, Description, Layout and Statistical Analysis of

Completely Randomized Design (CRD), Randomized Complete Block Design

(RCBD), Multiple Comparison tests (LSD test).

IV. Population Analysis & Vital Statistics

Population and Demographic Methods, Sources of Demographic data, Basic

Demographic Measures, Sex Ratio, Child Women Ratio, Vital Index, Crude and

Specific Birth and Death Rates, Total Fertility and Net Reproduction Rates.

Official Statistics: Statistical Systems in Pakistan, Functions of Statistics Division,

Bureaus of Statistics and NADRA. The National Income, Gross Domestic Product,

Saving and Wealth, Index Numbers.

SUGGESTED READINGS

Sr. No. | Title | Author |

1. | Principles and Procedures of Statistics | Steel, R and Torrie, J.H. |

2. | Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientist | Walpole, R.E., Myers, R.H. and Myers, S.L. |

3. | Introduction to Statistical Theory, Part-I & II | Chaudhry, S.M. and Kamal, S. |

4. | Introduction to Probability Theory and Statistical Inference, 3rd Edition. | Larson, H.J. |

5. | Design and Analysis of Experiments | Montgomery, D.C. |

6. | Fundamentals of Modern Statistical Methods | Wilcox, R. |

7. | Biostatistical Analysis | Zar, J.H. |

8. | Latest Statistical Methods | Vaidyanathan, M. |

9. | Statistical Methods | Aggarwal, Y.P. |

10. | Mathematical Statistics | Freund, John E. |

11. | Demographic Methods | Andrew Hinde |

12. | Publications of Federal Board of Statistics and Provincial Board of Statistics, Pakistan. | Govt. of Pakistan |